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Strategies & Market Trends : Interest rate rise will trigger market crash / correction
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To: Arthur Tang who wrote (4)2/27/1997 11:39:00 AM
From: Bill Ounce   of 52
 
Famous last words Aurthur,

>>>Wall street understood all this, and can encourage american corporations to move forward. No recession in sight if world market is waiting for us. No crash, now or ever, is also because of earnings created liquidity. Corporate stock buy backs. And FED's liquidity in monetary policy.<<<

The markets will crash if any of the following happen:

(1) Major political instability in Middle East
(2) Terrorist use weapon of mass destruction in a major G7 city.
(3) Russia uses nuclear arsenal to defend itself.
(4) N/S Korea erupt into open warfare.
(5) China/Taiwan erupt into open warfare.
(6) FED hikes interest rates too high, too quickly.

I expect events happening in other places of the world will precipitated the next major bear market. That's what happened the last time.

A true panic will have little to do with the Fed, Wall Street's "understanding", mega malls, Corporate stock buy-backs. ...
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