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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 665.67-0.9%Nov 17 4:00 PM EST

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To: donald sew who wrote (11253)4/16/1999 5:03:00 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
Donald, i believe that the options market may give some clues as to what's happening here. as noted all week, there was this strange divergence of speculation in individual equity calls and heavy OEX put buying. conceivably the speculation in calls was concentrating on the usual suspects, i.e. the momentum stocks that suffered so much this week. i have noticed for instance that there is a lot more volume in options on netstocks lately than there used to be. you may remember that i mentioned that the cyclicals which moved up this week are the very stocks where open interest in puts is bigger than in calls. if this theory is correct we should see the nasdaq move up on monday, as the april options have expired today.of course i'm not really sure whether the market can really be manipulated to such an extent. it may all be old-fashioned rotation, since so many of the leaders were very extended.

regards,

hb
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