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To: Sawtooth who wrote (27318)4/16/1999 9:58:00 PM
From: Jon Koplik  Read Replies (4) of 152472
 
O.T. - WSJ article about crude oil formation (and thoughts from Thomas Gold).

April 16, 1999

Odd Reservoir Off Louisiana Prods
Oil Experts to Seek a Deeper Meaning

By CHRISTOPHER COOPER
Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

HOUSTON -- Something mysterious is going on at Eugene Island 330.

Production at the oil field, deep in the Gulf of Mexico off the coast of
Louisiana, was supposed to have declined years ago. And for a while, it
behaved like any normal field: Following its 1973 discovery, Eugene Island
330's output peaked at about 15,000 barrels a day. By 1989, production had
slowed to about 4,000 barrels a day.

Then suddenly -- some say almost inexplicably -- Eugene Island's fortunes
reversed. The field, operated by PennzEnergy Co., is now producing 13,000
barrels a day, and probable reserves have rocketed to more than 400 million
barrels from 60 million. Stranger still, scientists studying the field say the crude
coming out of the pipe is of a geological age quite different from the oil that
gushed 10 years ago.

Fill 'er Up

All of which has led some scientists to a radical theory: Eugene Island is
rapidly refilling itself, perhaps from some continuous source miles below the
Earth's surface. That, they say, raises the tantalizing possibility that oil may not
be the limited resource it is assumed to be.

"It kind of blew me away," says Jean Whelan, a geochemist and senior
researcher from the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in Massachusetts.
Connected to Woods Hole since 1973, Dr. Whelan says she considered herself
a traditional thinker until she encountered the phenomenon in the Gulf of
Mexico. Now, she says, "I believe there is a huge system of oil just migrating"
deep underground.

Conventional wisdom says the world's supply of oil is finite, and that it was
deposited in horizontal reservoirs near the surface in a process that took
millions of years. Since the economies of entire countries ride on the
fundamental notion that oil reserves are exhaustible, any contrary evidence
"would change the way people see the game, turn the world view upside
down," says Daniel Yergin, a petroleum futurist and industry consultant in
Cambridge, Mass. "Oil and renewable resource are not words that often appear
in the same sentence."

Mideast Mystery

Doomsayers to the contrary, the world contains far more recoverable oil than
was believed even 20 years ago. Between 1976 and 1996, estimated global oil
reserves grew 72%, to 1.04 trillion barrels. Much of that growth came in the
past 10 years, with the introduction of computers to the oil patch, which made
drilling for oil more predictable.

Still, most geologists are hard-pressed to explain why the world's greatest oil
pool, the Middle East, has more than doubled its reserves in the past 20 years,
despite half a century of intense exploitation and relatively few new
discoveries. It would take a pretty big pile of dead dinosaurs and prehistoric
plants to account for the estimated 660 billion barrels of oil in the region, notes
Norman Hyne, a professor at the University of Tulsa in Oklahoma.
"Off-the-wall theories often turn out to be right," he says.

Even some of the most staid U.S. oil companies find the Eugene Island
discoveries intriguing. "These reservoirs are refilling with oil," acknowledges
David Sibley, a Chevron Corp. geologist who has monitored the work at
Eugene Island.

Mr. Sibley cautions, however, that much research remains to be done on the
source of that oil. "At this point, it's not black and white. It's gray," he says.

Although the world has been drilling for oil for generations, little is known
about the nature of the resource or the underground activities that led to its
creation. And because even conservative estimates say known oil reserves will
last 40 years or more, most big oil companies haven't concerned themselves
much with hunting for deep sources like the reservoirs scientists believe may
exist under Eugene Island.

Economics never hindered the theorists, however. One, Thomas Gold, a
respected astronomer and professor emeritus at Cornell University in Ithaca,
N.Y., has held for years that oil is actually a renewable, primordial syrup
continually manufactured by the Earth under ultrahot conditions and
tremendous pressures. As this substance migrates toward the surface, it is
attacked by bacteria, making it appear to have an organic origin dating back to
the dinosaurs, he says.

While many scientists discount Prof. Gold's theory as unproved, "it made a
believer out of me," says Robert Hefner, chairman of Seven Seas Petroleum
Inc., a Houston firm that specializes in ultradeep drilling and has worked with
the professor on his experiments. Seven Seas continues to use "conventional"
methods in seeking reserves, though the halls of the company often ring with
dissent. "My boss and I yell at each other all the time about these theories,"
says Russ Cunningham, a geologist and exploration manager for Seven Seas
who isn't sold on Prof. Gold's ideas.

Energy Vacuum

Knowing that clever theories don't fill the gas tank, Roger Anderson, an
oceanographer and executive director of Columbia University's Energy
Research Center in New York, proposed studying the behavior of oil in a
reservoir in hopes of finding a new way to help companies vacuum up what
their drilling was leaving behind.

He focused on Eugene Island, a kidney-shaped subsurface mountain that
slopes steeply into the Gulf depths. About 80 miles off the Louisiana coast, the
underwater landscape surrounding Eugene Island is otherworldly, cut with
deep fissures and faults that spontaneously belch gas and oil. In 1985, as he
stood on the deck of a shrimp boat towing an oil-sniffing contraption through
the area, Dr. Anderson pondered Eugene Island's strange history. "Migrating oil
and anomalous production. I sort of linked the two ideas together," he says.

Five years later, the U.S. Department of Energy ponied up $10 million to
investigate the Eugene Island geologic formation, and especially the oddly
behaving field at its crest. A consortium of companies leasing chunks of the
formation, including such giants as Chevron, Exxon Corp. and Texaco Corp.,
matched the federal grant.

Time and Space

The Eugene Island researchers began their investigation about the same time
that 3-D seismic technology was introduced to the oil business, allowing
geologists to see promising reservoirs as a cavern in the ground rather than as
a line on a piece of paper.

Taking the technology one step further, Dr. Anderson used a powerful
computer to stack 3-D images of Eugene Island on top of one another. That
resulted in a 4-D image, showing not only the reservoir in three spatial
dimensions, but showing also the movement of its contents over time as
PennzEnergy siphoned out oil.

What Dr. Anderson noticed as he played his time-lapse model was how much
oil PennzEnergy had missed over the years. The remaining crude, surrounded
by water and wobbling like giant globs of Jell-O in the computer model, gave
PennzEnergy new targets as it reworked Eugene Island.

What captivated scientists, though, was a deep fault in the bottom corner of
the computer scan that was gushing oil like a garden hose. "We could see the
stream," Dr. Anderson says. "It wasn't even debated that it was happening."

Woods Hole's Dr. Whelan, invited by Dr. Anderson to join the Eugene Island
investigation, postulated that superheated methane gas -- a compound that is
able to absorb vast amounts of oil -- was carrying crude from a deep source
below. The age of the crude pushed through the stream, and its hotter
temperature helped support that theory. The scientists decided to drill into the
fault.

Unlucky Strike

As prospectors, the scientists were fairly lucky. As researchers they weren't.
The first well they drilled hit natural gas, a pocket so pressurized "that it scared
us," Dr. Anderson says; that well is still producing. The second stab, however,
collapsed the fault. "Some oil flowed. I have 15 gallons of it in my closet," Dr.
Anderson says. But it wasn't successful enough to advance Dr. Whelan's
theory.

A third well was drilled at a spot on an adjacent lease, where the fault
disappeared from seismic view. The researchers missed the stream but hit a
fair-size reservoir, one that is still producing.

It was here, in 1995, that the scientists ran out of grant money and
PennzEnergy lost interest in continuing. "I'm not discounting the possibility that
there is oil moving into these reservoirs," says William Van Wie, a
PennzEnergy senior vice president. "I question only the rate."

Dr. Whelan hasn't lost interest, however, and is seeking to investigate further
the mysterious vents and seeps. While industry geologists have generally
assumed such eruptions are merely cracks in a shallow oil reservoir, they
aren't sure. Noting that many of the seeps are occurring in deep water, rather
than in the relative shallows of the continental shelf, Dr. Whelan wonders if
they may link a deeper source.

This summer, a tiny submarine chartered by a Louisiana State University
researcher will attempt to install a series of measuring devices on vents near
the Eugene Island property. Dr. Whelan hopes this will give her some idea of
how quickly Eugene Island is refilling. "We need to know if we're talking years
or if we're talking hundreds of thousands of years," she says.

Copyright © 1999 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
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