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Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc.
DELL 133.92-4.9%Nov 13 3:59 PM EST

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To: OLDTRADER who wrote (118415)4/18/1999 4:39:00 PM
From: rudedog  Read Replies (3) of 176387
 
If you have followed my posting on this and the CPQ board, you would know that Rosen determined in 1994 that the PC business was going to be an increasingly low margin business which would not fuel the needed growth for CPQ. This is what drove the current strategy to shift to a broader and more services led development. John Rose, who at that time had just made CPQ #1 in PCs, felt the same way, and also had doubts that CPQ could transform their model in the PC space. The plan was to Be the #1 or #2 PC player, and at the same time to make PCs less than 50% of revenue. That's why Rose left the PC group and created the Enterprise group in 1996. Even at that time PCs were less than 30% of profits. They correctly predicted as early as 1995 that DELL would surpass IBM and HP and challenge CPQ in the desktop space by 1998. CPQ has been engaged in a defensive game in the desktop space - their real focus is enterprise business.

It looks to me like things have played out almost exactly as they predicted. It is IBM and HP who have had their desktop business destroyed, and both CPQ and DELL have contributed to that decline.

DELL has certainly not destroyed CPQ's desktop business - have you been looking at the numbers? CPQ has also defended the server space quite well against DELL and managed to preserve margins at the same time - this is one of the reasons that DELL's enterprise business has not been growing as rapidly as Lambert would like. DELL will make inroads there but they are still a relatively small player in that space.

What we are seeing is that CPQ and DELL are increasingly moving in different directions. Where EP failed was not in the execution of the defensive strategy against DELL, but in execution on integrating the acquisitions and getting the cost structure in line quickly enough. Mason was also accountable in that regard.

You are a pretty smart guy, you should know this stuff....
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