ADCM Horse Racing VIA Echostar & Loral.
Horse racing and the wagering on horse racing is just being born NOW in two different systems.
First of all Enrst & Young did a study wherein they identified that on the North America Continent, 7 million people spend 15 BILLION YEARLY on HORSE RACE GAMING.
I have heard from reliable sources that UBET which started their horse racing in Jan 99, is now handling (1) ONE MILLION in wagering on their system per day. With a 4% commission that is $40,000 per day.This is done on the internet and there is no way to see the race live at home on your TV. The concept is FAR INFERIOR to ADCM. The stock was trading around $2.00 ran to $20.00 and pulled back to $10.00 and is now trading around $17.00 to $19.00 per share.
Now let's take a look at American Digital Communications, Inc Ticker Symbol ADCM. The concept is quite simple and BRILLIANT. If a class A race horse track such as Santa Anita can obtain wagering directly from all over the country (and the WORLD), the mutual handle and therefore the net to the track overcomes the heretofore limitations of geographical pull.
In addition if the horse player, as the basketball and football wager can watch from his home on TV, the live outcome of that wager, the tracks move into the same dimension. IMHO In my humble opinion I believe that ADCM will have more than 10 tracks within the next 2 weeks.
Lets say 10 tracks will do a million and a half (1 !/2) million each day, that is (15) million dollars per day. If ADCM is responsible, through it's system for getting 20% of the betting that is 3 million dollars gross a day. Lets suppose they are going to get 4 % commission on it, that is $120,000 a day, $600,000 a week or $31,200,000 per year. Plus they are looking to get another 2 !/2 million from the boxes. So they will have $33,700,000 in gross revenues from only 10 tracks. The gross revenue divided by 25 million shares gives you gross revenues of $1.35 a share of gross revenues from only 10 tracks. If you use a very conservative 15 times revenues, your looking at $20.25 per share on just 10 tracks gross revenue. Today in start up companies they look at revenue and the acceleration of revenues to determine value per share, once mature they than revert back to profits per share. I repeat this assumption is made on only 10 tracks.
All indications of present flows confirm these projections to be realistic if not conservative.
Just relax and think of the following: In my opinion the concept of an individual in Hong Kong placing a wager at Santa Anita from his home with a credit card and watching that race run on his own TV has arrived. It is not preposterous; it is reality here and now.
This stock is one of the most interesting investments I have logged onto in my investing career.
The other one is in the medical field and is about to become a .COM company I will share that later.
You certainly can look at ADCM as .COM stock, because it will bring racing via satellite from around the world.
Call the management -- and do your own due diligence.
The following are a few references to help you.
1. quote.yahoo.com this will give you price movement 15 Min. delayed plus charts, plus all news releases.
2. ragingbull.com At this site you can follow all investors opinions re this stock both good and bad.
3. biz.yahoo.com Fridays press release which started the breakout.
4. trackpower.com Web Site for ADCM.
5. biz.yahoo.com
6. biz.yahoo.com
7. biz.yahoo.com
8. biz.yahoo.com
9. biz.yahoo.com
10. Last ten day trading pattern:
Q : ADCM - AMERICAN DIGITAL COMM INC
Most Recent Closing Prices Date Ex Open Hi Lo Close Chg Vol #Tr
Apr 16 1999 Q .520 .530 .480 .530 +.040 690700 70 Apr 15 1999 Q .510 .550 .490 .490 -.020 176200 39 Apr 14 1999 Q .590 .620 .490 .510 -.030 1244700 172 Apr 13 1999 Q .460 .540 .440 .540 +.080 974300 110 Apr 12 1999 Q .450 .460 .420 .460 +.010 364500 40 Apr 9 1999 Q .460 .460 .420 .450 +.010 107700 20 Apr 8 1999 Q .470 .470 .420 .440 -.040 121500 28 Apr 7 1999 Q .420 .490 .420 .480 +.060 420300 56 Apr 6 1999 Q .480 .480 .390 .420 -.060 344000 62 Apr 5 1999 Q .460 .500 .450 .480 +.040 1960900 203
John Jacobs
|