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Technology Stocks : America On-Line (AOL)
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To: Vendit™ who wrote (11941)4/21/1999 4:25:00 AM
From: Seeker of Truth  Read Replies (5) of 41369
 
I'm not sure AOL will be enjoyable in the long run. It certainly
has been so up till now. But I wonder about a P/E ratio that is
245 based on the YAHOO consensus estimate of 53 cents for the
fiscal year ending June 2000. If the earnings grow at the rate
of 49.5% per year over the 2000-2005 period then the P/E will
be down to about 50 in 2005 provided the stock price remains
unchanged. But the outlook in 2005 may not be so rosy as now.
1. As far as I can see AOL is not very international. Is there any
activity noticeable outside of North America?
2. Surely bargain priced internet access will become very common
in the future. I know many people who use cheaper access. Is this
not a threat?
3. Cable seems to be faster than DSL so in the broadband era of
2005, won't AOL's service seem too slow to many?
I'm long in a small way, just trying to figure things out,
not expecting to knock the stock price down with my solitary
questions.
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