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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: Jon Matz who wrote (39638)4/21/1999 9:41:00 AM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (2) of 94695
 
That's part of what caused the head to fall off a cliff Monday,
Most of the TOP CAPs droped like a rock.
GE has 358B in market cap , then take UK at the bottom has 7B
50 to 1 difference in their cap ( and liquid ) Yet each one
moves the DOW index the same amount per $1 change in it's
price.
All things equal say GE loses $5 , and UK gains $5
then the index don't move But the market cap just fell like
crazy and the Dow just lost a lot of it's liquidity.

Looking in side the TOP 10 hold 4 times the liquid,
the bottom 20 hold.
If I'm big money I can ease a lot of money off the table and
not drop the index by selling the Top 10 while supporting the
bottom 20. I can then pull out of the smaller ones and the
index adjusts to the liquid level real fast often going below
it.
What I see is a running liquid level as to where the index should
be
( it's a relative thing,) and I see the index adjusting
to that liquid level in a delayed fashion often dramatically to
spill past it , both on the up and down side.
Normal TA one would use on a stock can't be used on the Dow, as
the index is only a mirror of where the liquid level was.
The index trails the liquid level but goes on both sides because
of public reactions.
--------------------
There was some real fast damage done to the liquidity of the Dow when
I posted that the head just fell off a cliff post
I expect more down side.
Jim

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