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Strategies & Market Trends : How To Write Covered Calls - An Ongoing Real Case Study!

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To: Mark Mandel who wrote (10479)4/21/1999 5:58:00 PM
From: Herm  Read Replies (3) of 14162
 
Hi Mark,

There are some major events taking place with INTC. A .08 cent div.
payout coming up. The record date is May 7, 1999. So, you might see
the funds pumping up the stock to strip that dividend. The ticks show
money flows out of INTC for the past two days even with INTC moving up
in price. Could be a sign of shorting against the box! Especially,
when you see an equal number of large blocks on the up and down ticks
balancing out. You don't see a one sided up tick blocks. The small
blocks is MMs chumming and daytraders.

INTEL CORP (NASDAQ:INTC Last Sale: 58 7/16 +1 7/8)
INTC Trading Summary
21-APR-99 Ticks Money Flow($MM) Avg. Price
Small Blocks +612 -588 +18.6 -23.9 57.2414
Large Blocks +14 -14 +24.6 -25.3 57.1638
Total: +626 -602 +43.2 -49.3* 57.2082

20-APR-99 Ticks Money Flow($MM) Avg. Price
Small Blocks +649 -639 +17.2 -20.2 56.3515
Large Blocks +10 -9 +8.4 -12.2 56.2977
Total: +659 -648 +25.6 -32.4* 56.3386

NASDAQ: (INTC : $58 7/16) $196,350 million Market Cap at April 21,
1999 Ranks 38th in the Fortune 500 on Revenue & 6th on Profit.
Employs 48,500. Trades at a 19% Discount PE Multiple of 25.3 X, vs.
the 31.3 X average multiple at which the Semiconductors SubIndustry
is priced.

bigcharts.com

With a recent INTC 52-week high of $71+ and one attempt (so far) to
match that high, you MAY see one more attempt before a strong pullback
and price consolidation. Your overhead resistance appears to be around
$65.00 and your bottom price support at $55. If INTC would to break
below $55 it would most likely plung to $45.00. From the current price
of $58+ you are just about in the middle of that range of high and
low. So, with that in mind I would like some upside potential and more
downside protection.

You need to cover that current CC of the 75s May @ 1/16! That is a
waste of time remaining for you. Free yourself up and CCing an INTC
LEAP 65JAN00 @ $7+ would be sweet deal. Upside CC B.E. at $65+7=$72
before you would have to act with an sideshow long CALL or cover at a
loss. Downside protection would to $58 current price-$7=$51.00 before
covering and rolling down with another round of CCs and/or cheap
sideshow PUTs!

INTC new turnover Rate is now 92.79 Days! That is slow enough to see
the price change coming and be able to act promptly
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