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Strategies & Market Trends : How To Write Covered Calls - An Ongoing Real Case Study!

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To: NateC who wrote (10488)4/22/1999 12:59:00 PM
From: Hectorite  Read Replies (1) of 14162
 
Nate, I think your calculations are wrong. Excerpt from your scenario:
"bought an underlying at 22, and sold the 25 call for $2...(Stock goes to 27)...pay $3 to cover...We now have the
underlying at 27, and the full 5 on the runup.....but we've spent $3 in buying back..so we have a net $2 on the underlying...plus our original $3 premie....for a total of $5. It's the SAME, it seems to me."
The original was 2, not 3. So here's what I get with stock at 27.
Do Nothing: +3(stock)+ 2 (short prem)=+5
cover: +5(stock)+ 2(short prem)-3(cover prem)=+4 (worse than doing nothing)
Roll up and out: 5 + 2 -3 + 2(assumed)=+6

Now if it goes up to 30 you make out best by rolling (8+1(net prem)=+9), but you raised your downside protection level up to 21 form 20. If the stock went from 22 to 27 in a short period the technical support levels might have well shifted up too so that giving up a little protection may not be a big deal, depends on the stock of course.
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