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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Michael Burry who wrote (6893)4/22/1999 1:29:00 PM
From: Freedom Fighter  Read Replies (2) of 78495
 
Here's the numbers on VELCF. Trading this morning at 12 3/16.

Some of the numbers are approximates because I am looking at the most recent annual report. Changes in the value of the investment portfolio would alter these numbers slightly. But not enough to change the general flavor of the company or value.

Book Value = 4.58

Investment Portfolio at Cost = 3.16 (market is higher)

Operating Book Value = 1.42 (approximate)

EPS = .91 (including realized gains, interest, dividends)

Earning from operations = .62 (This is a firm estimate. I do not know the exact tax rate to use in order to separate investment gains from profits)

ROE on operations = 43.7% (.62 / 1.42)

5 year compound sales growth = 13%

1 year sales growth = 10.8%

1 year growth in operating earnings = 23.5%

If you subtract out the value of the investment portfolio and the associated earnings you are paying less than 15x earnings for a very high ROE business that seems to still be growing well. Last year's results were affected negatively by the strike at GM and global weakness in many foreign markets. Decent results for a bad year.
Growth prospects are related to new applications (ex. diapers) and associated products, and new markets.

Wayne


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