Gord,
OFF TOPIC-SUF
FWIW, here is a comment I made earlier....I'm keeping my powder dry on this one for the time being.... Author: teevee -- Date:1999-04-18 07:33:03
Subject: heads or tails?
jspec, At this time, many South African individuals and companies, large and small, are trying their best to divest from South Africa. The reasons for this are many and moot, however, I believe that South African's know their own country and situation better than others......consequently, we have seen for example, companies like Placer Dome buy into large proven gold reserves for what seems a very attractive price.....and now SUF may buy some PGM "assets".......given what DeBeers did to SUF at Marsfontein, and who SUF's new partners are, it is clear to me that Chris Jennings has decided to throw in his lot with the black South Africans.....this move is clearly "against the grain", and as inferred from the market activity in SUF shares, institutional holders of SUF apparently don't like the strategy or the implications(in the short term, they correctly anticipate previous owners of the PGM company will effectively have transferred assets out of SA by selling to SUF, and will very likely be selling their new found SUF paper on the TSE).........also, SUF can now claim that they are re-investing diamond profits in South Africa, this probably has important political implications regarding their relationship with the South African government which is in transition.
IF South Africa continues to deteriorate, purchases of resource properties will turn out to have been a mistake....on the other hand, if South Africa stabilizes, it could work out in the medium to long term.......No matter what happens, markets apparently don't like uncertainty so I don't see a positive outlook for SUF in the short term......
regards, teevee |