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Technology Stocks : TLAB info?

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To: Rafael Silva who wrote (5432)4/23/1999 11:51:00 PM
From: llwk7051@aol.com  Read Replies (2) of 7342
 
I think the author is applying the multiple to the wrong earnings for Jan 2000 value. He is using 1999 earnings not 2000 earnings estimates if I understood the post correctly. If I am correct this explains his 6% return. Also read this post Message 9115677. Very informative about pe ratios. I will admit determining fair value is a lot harder than finding a good stock you would like to own for several years. That is why I liked the post on pe ratios. I personally have been badly burned on stocks such as Merck and many others by paying to much attention to the pe ratio vs growth rate. I sold way to early. I suggest you consider doing your own multi year analysis of earnings and discount them back to a present value. That method will give you another gauge of current value and future potential. But one thing you will note is all values are based on estimates of unknown future events. That is what makes valuation so difficult in my opinion. Hope this helps. Please note I am not giving any opinion on what I think of the current price. I am long on Tlab and have been for several years.
Good luck,
Robert D.
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