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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

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Jan 23 4:00 PM EST

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To: donald sew who wrote (11962)	4/25/1999 10:58:00 AM
From: F Robert Simms	Read Replies (1) of 99985

Donald, I have been thinking that when you get a class sell that the market usually moves the next day. I had been thinking of it as a 24 hour window. Obviously I am wrong. I understand that morphs can extend it an extra day. My confusion is that you said that at 9:55 AM you got a class 2 sell on the NAZ and others. You also said that it can go down anytime from when you get the sell to sometime Monday. That is a window of 3 days. Is there any way that we can narrow the window a bit even though it may increase our chances of being wrong. Is the probability something like a bell curve? Is the most likely time a narrower time window? Thanks ahead of time. Best Wishes, Bob

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