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Biotech / Medical : Sepracor-Looks very promising

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To: Art Vandelay AIA who wrote (2552)4/28/1999 11:43:00 AM
From: Don Miller  Read Replies (1) of 10280
 
ClearStation (the backward viewer) just recommended shorting SEPR. I do not agree, but you deserve knowledge of the information anyway.
Don

Quote:

Subject:
(ClearStation) Recommendation : SEPR (Short) by kensey
Date:
28 Apr 1999 15:05:32 -0000
From:
ClearBot@clearstation.com
Reply-To:
support@clearstation.com
To:
Subscribers of kensey's recommended list <kensey_subscribers@clearstation.com>

.............
'kensey' has recommended SEPR (Short)

'kensey' said:

One Two Punch. MACD red (downtrend) and Stochastic is overbought (a short

term bounce within the context of that downtrend).

Similar to AMGN short yesterday but a little bit more of a pronounced downtrend.

Sepracor (SEPR) has been MACD red for about a month. Stochastic is overbought

which indicates that relative to where prices have been navigating in the recent past,

prices here are extended to an unsustainable level, starting to form a cup, and about

to head lower.

The situation is similar to the beginning of April when and where prices bounced higher

off an intermediate low of 110 to navigate to 120. Prices then formed a cup. Then the next leg of the downtrend resumed and prices where taken down to the 80 dollar a

share level.

Prices then bounced back up to 100 wher they now sit. Yet another cup, perhaps

another leg down.

The basic gist is that stochastic is a short term indicator while MACD is a longer term

indicator. MACD indicates vertical direction over a longer period of time. MACD is

deemed a stronger indication as to the direction of prices than stochastic. So the

action described by stochastic is a warble within the confines of something stronger

and more persistent and of greater weight.

A stop loss would be placed at 102. That is, if prices don't head in the direction of

the trade (down) the position is closed out.

One caveat is the very high level of selling that occurred in the leg down from 110

to 80 - this can indicate exhaustion of the downtrend and foreshadow a reversal

where prices start to trend higher. Exhaustion selling means that 'everyone who

has wanted to sell has sold'. Or, the stock has been sold out to the extent that

there is no one left to sell who wants to sell. Sellers have left the train.

Another stock in the wilting biotech group that is in a similar configuration to Sepracor

and Amgen is Biogen (BGEN).

kensey

See the annotated graph of this recommendation at:

clearstation.com

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