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Technology Stocks : CheckFree Holdings Corp. (CKFR), the next Dell, Intel?

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To: TLindt who wrote (5057)4/28/1999 12:40:00 PM
From: Roger Bass  Read Replies (3) of 20297
 
Despite the enthusiasm here for anything that seems likely to drive the price up, the comments quoted here are as dumb as anything I've heard from any analyst for a long time. Specifics:

1) Yahoo is a channel, a distribution business. Processing is way
different as a business.
2) Exclusivity on a particular offer is, of course, a good thing from
any channel's perspective. In processing businesses however, volume is critical. CF's viability would be seriously impaired as a 'captive' processor, for this reason, and even more seriously, since they'd be less attractive to billers if they lost distribution.

Also, saying that "It would be the most successful acquisition [they] ever made" is just generally an idiotic thing to say about any acquisition until the real results are known. Reality is, about half of acquisitions are unsuccessful, especially compared to the hype that always accompanies them.

And finally, the comment that CF is the "sole provider of online bill payment services", though it may warm the cockles of our collective hearts, betrays ignorance about this space from someone who is, after all a portal analyst.

- Roger.
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