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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly?
MSFT 485.49+1.8%Nov 26 3:59 PM EST

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To: RTev who wrote (21805)4/28/1999 6:39:00 PM
From: johnd  Read Replies (2) of 74651
 
Rtev,

The the reason wall street expects internet companies to
beat their expectations by wide upside margins is the
reason they trade at lofty multiples.

AOL: is at 40x sales and 600 PE. it could easily be 1/4
the price or about 40 /share and still at 10x sales and
100PE.

AMZN: Only revenues. Increasing losesses. Is trading at
31 times sales.

I am starting to see flattening of revenue grwoth rates
on all internet companies - YHOO, AOL, AMZN,..it is only
a matter of time before we see a serious correction. Could
be tomorrow. MSFT is a bit insulated but will still see
some sympathatic decline. MSFT has 82 and 67 as it's 50d
and 200d moving averages. Somewhere in there is a support
level. THe real rock bottom it could hit is 67 in my opinion,
which is the 200d moving average. At 67, it still would be
at 54PE but I think that would be a great opportunity to buy
more.
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