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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 230.92+3.1%3:59 PM EST

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To: Henry D who wrote (29863)5/2/1999 10:55:00 AM
From: Tony Viola  Read Replies (1) of 70976
 
Henry,

my guess for recent weakness are: the alleged slowing of PC growth and DRAM
pricing pressure.


Your reasons sound as plausible as any. Throw in a very healthy runup in AMAT's stock price since last fall's lows, and the smokestack phenomenon and the price right now, to me, is very understandable. Still, looking at your reasons, Q1 PC growth was better than expected YOY at 17% units . The bears will say how about revs; well every unit has at least one Intel, or AMD or Cyrix, and chipset and DRAM and flash BIOS and disk controllers and a few other chips inside, regardless of its cost. WRT DRAM, the memory size being bandied for Win2000 is 128 MB. That ought to kickstart the DRAM business.

AMAT needs to somehow become a dot commer, like Sun has and Intel is starting to, to a degree. AMAT builds the systems that build the chips that make the computers that connect the world.

Tony
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