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Non-Tech : AHL Services (AHLS)

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To: SteveG who wrote (7)5/4/1999 2:12:00 AM
From: SteveG  Read Replies (1) of 9
 
CSFB from last week:
BUY
AHL Services(AHLS)

First Quarter Slightly Ahead of Expectations

Summary

AHLS reported earnings essentially in line. Taxes were less
than forecast, which accounted for the $0.01 upside to
consensus estimates.

Internal growth remains robust at 23.4%. Annualized new
orders were an all time high at $28.4 million. One large
project for the Port Authority of New York accounted for $12
million.

Bookings also were strong with $14.5 million recorded versus $9
million in December and $7.5 million in March 1998.
Bookings should convert in one quarter.

Sales mix has shifted to such a degree than only three
customers' account for 22% of sales and no customer accounts
for more than 10%.

Cash flow was negative in the quarter due to a one-time swing
in working capital of $18.7 million. Cash flow should turn
solidly positive in the June quarter.

The conference call is at 10 am EST. The dial-in is 888-566-6194.

Price Target Mkt.Value 52-Week
04/28/991 (12mo.) Div. Yield (MM) Price Range
29.88 $45 519.3 $42.75-17.50
Annual Prev. Abs. Rel. EV/ EBITDA/
EPS EPS P/E P/E EBITDA Share
12/00E $1.70 17.6X 53% 8.0 $4.19
12/99E 1.35 22.1 62% 9.6 3.66
12/98A 0.91 34.3 98% 16.9 2.43
March June Sept. Dec. FY End
1999E $0.22A $0.28 $0.44 $0.43 Dec. 31
1998A 0.13 0.18 0.30 0.30

ROIC (12/99E) 11.2
Total Debt (12/99E) $115
Book Val/Share (12/99E) $12.62
WACC (12/99E) 13.1
Debt/Total Capital (12/99E) 34
Common Shares 17.4
EP Trend2 Up
Est. 5-Yr. EPS Growth 30
Est. 5-Yr. Div. Growth
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