steven agreed.
my only point was that in the cable[HFC] vs tel[adsl] argument the tel guys always point to congestion as the main pitfall of cable modems.....perhaps the problem isn't as significant as we are lead to believe.
T obviously has decided that cable is a viable solution. This is legitimizes cable to a much larger extent. Subsequently it has raised the valuations of cable stocks significantly IMHO. If they are willing to pay big bucks for UMG. What is the valuation of comcast, adelphia, time warner and the other MSOs? It must be significantly higher than two weeks ago. While UMG is certainly a plumb with positive earnings, systems which have a high fiber penetration and have almost all been upgraded, what will the bidding war bring from the likes of MCI, C&W, BT, DT, SBC, BEL, BLS, etc
Will we see the deep pockets of the RBOCs contending for the other MSOs outside their service areas? Will they decide instead to go after the CLECs? I vote the MSOs are better buys. With the CLECs they have limited Right of Way and attachement rights. Pole space seems to be deciding value from these systems. T has bought a prize MSO for $4500 est per subscriber? What a deal. With the RBOCs pending entrance into long distance, I thought T was history, three days from now they will be a bargain. Sprint, MCI are looking bad at this time....they will be forced to make a move or perish when the RBOCs get into long distance.
sell WCOM, FON buy T |