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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly?
MSFT 483.88+1.6%3:59 PM EST

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To: RTev who wrote (22353)5/7/1999 7:39:00 PM
From: John Carpenter  Read Replies (1) of 74651
 
Dominance of the ISP market would accelerate MSFT's E.P.S.
growth rate with the combination of subscriber fees
and corporate advertising. The market affords higher P/E
multiples to ISPs than to software companies, even dominant
software companies. Personally speaking, I find myself
spending increasingly more time on line and increasingly less
time using MSFT software. The gap in market capitalization
between AOL and MSFT has narrowed markedly in the last year.
ISP dominance is critical because the market says its critical.
The market determines the relative merit of any business.
The ISP market is growing faster than MSFT's underlying
businesses and the market rewards higher E.P.S. growth
with a higher PE ratio and greater stock price appreciation. AOL is
expected to grow EPS 49% per year over the next five years,
with MSFT expected to grow at about half that rate.

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