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Gold/Mining/Energy : International Precious Metals (IPMCF)

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To: Jack Sman who wrote (3585)3/7/1997 1:55:00 PM
From: CHARLES W. FISHER   of 35569
 
Jack or anyone,is there a free website address for the trading log data in your last post? Thank for posting it, I was able to stay the course.

Without looking at the trading log one would think that a large amount of traders were selling in big blocks. The tape shows someone selling very small amounts driving the price down time and time again, makes you want to say hummmmmm....., is someone trying to create a buying opportunity and wipeout some stops? Is this the dreaded MAD QUOTE DISEASE.. AND TIME TO BUY?

I was surprise at the lack of response your post got, now is the time to keep each other informed , trade by trade.

Subject: International Precious Metals (IPMCF)

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To: C L Miltimore (3259 )
From: Mark Ferguson Mar 4 1997 1:43PM EST
Reply #3275 of 3301

A Comparison with BXM:

The best real-life example I know of where traders would have been
severely burned is the time when Bre-X minerals took off in October
of 1995 after spectacular drill results. Below is the trading for
the relevant time period. On Oct 13 the stock was as low as 17.75.
The results I think were released on the morning of the 18th. On the
19th it traded as high as $59 and closed at $47. Look at the stomach
churning ride on the 16th when rumours were circulating and many
people would have gotten suckered out (I might have sold myself if
I'd been suffering from "mad-quote" disease!)
high low close vol
BXM 19951019 A 59.00 42.00 47.75 1183431
BXM 19951018 A 39.00 30.00 38.62 962440
BXM 19951017 A 29.25 25.62 29.25 727675
BXM 19951016 A 28.25 18.62 23.50 460720
BXM 19951013 A 27.00 24.75 26.75 427737
BXM 19951012 A 24.37 19.50 24.25 384376
BXM 19951011 A 19.75 17.75 19.62 189305

Those who held tight on the 19th after the steep decline
from the high were richly rewarded as the stock reached
a subsequent high of around$280. Of course the trading
period above is AFTER the stock has already gone up 20
fold -- so any one who sells because a stock has
"gone up too much" is not selling for the right reasons.

My points are that if IPMC does achieve the heights
that we are hoping for, it will not be a smooth ride.
There will be rocky patches where small investors will
be tempted to give their shares to the institutions.
My other point is that there is no way on earth that a
chartist could look at the chart of Bre-X in early
Oct of 95 and have any idea of the magnitude of what
is in store. In the same way, I feel that some of the
ominous talk about the head and shoulders pattern in
IPMC is quite misguided in light of the fundamental
potential and certainly in light of the last three days!
Charts are much better at telling what NOT to buy rather
than what to buy.
My compliments to the superb contributors to this
thread who have done an excellent job in identifying
a FUNDAMENTALLY very exciting situation.

Mark Ferguson

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