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Strategies & Market Trends : Tech Stock Options

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To: Judy who wrote (5881)3/7/1997 11:11:00 PM
From: Philip H. Lee   of 58727
 
On CSCO and MOT.

I'm considering buying CSCO calls for a quick trade...either the March 50's or April 55's. The stock is at support right now, and Parabolic Time-Price just turned positive (parameters = 50acc/25stp), indicating a short-term uptrend. I've noticed that when the 50-25 PTP works, it usually either works immediately on the stock or quickly reverses its signal within a few days so there isn't a lot of waiting. James Wilder of Wilder RSI formulated the PTP indicator.

I'm also looking at MOT options also, although I bought the stock about 3 pts ago. 50-25 PTP also turned positive today. I think the trend is clearly up, and right now upside momentum is strong. MOT is #2 in DSP's (digital signal processors, a high growth area), has a great record of innovation, its StarTac cell phone is doing well, and semiconductor division [excluding DSP's] should also do well going forward...more Apple clones, higher sales of communications IC's. Sorry about my bad grammar; the lack of parallelism would really aggravate my professor. In short, I see mkt sentiment turning more positive for MOT.

If I went through with these trades, it would be my first experiment with short-term (less than 2 wks) timing in years. Recently, I've done well with long-term options on undervalued stocks with low to very low market correlation. However, CSCO and MOT have higher mkt correlation...how much should I weight the general market's outlook when deciding to open positions?

Comments welcome.

Philip
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