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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation

CRSP 56.61

+5.2%

Nov 6 3:59 PM EST

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To: LLCF who wrote (199)	5/13/1999 4:49:00 PM
From: LLCF	Read Replies (3) of 52153

New and improved spreadsheet sorted Mkt cap: Comp # Shrs Price Mkt.Cap Cash $/shr T-val. T-val/Shr $/Val 98' Exp Revs Burn Sales Sls/Exp MLNM 34.2 40 $1,369 $202 5.90 $1,167 $34.10 15% 139.0 133.7 3% 100 72% ALKS 24.9 25 $623 $171 6.87 $452 $18.13 27% 45.9 40.0 3% 0 INCY 29.3 24 $704 $77 2.62 $627 $21.38 11% 180.0 170.0 13% 175 97% VRTX 25.3 20.5 $520 $224 8.84 $296 $11.66 43% 77.5 44.5 15% 5 6% CLTR 17.3 24 $415 $116 6.71 $299 $17.29 28% 40.0 34.0 5% 0 PDLI 18.6 20 $372 $140 7.53 $232 $12.47 38% 40.0 30.0 7% 15 38% LGND 35.0 10 $350 $53 1.51 $297 $8.49 15% 87.0 25.0 117% 20 23% *CEPH 28.7 12 $345 $60 2.09 $285 $9.91 17% 74.6 15.6 98% 21 28% CORR 24.4 14 $342 $42 1.72 $300 $12.28 12% 73.2 41.9 75% 33 45% AVIR 15.7 22 $345 $79 5.03 $266 $16.97 23% 56.6 1.0 70% 0 CELG 16.4 18 $296 $13 0.79 $283 $17.21 4% 28.0 3.8 186% 0 SUPG 20.4 16 $326 $13 0.62 $314 $15.38 4% 19.5 3.0 130% 0 GELX 16.0 18.5 $296 $100 6.24 $196 $12.26 34% 40.0 20.0 20% 0 GLIA 10.1 26 $263 $26 2.57 $237 $23.43 10% 30.0 36.0 -23% 36 120% GLFD 19.6 12 $235 $116 5.93 $119 $6.07 49% 50.3 12.5 33% 6 12% PCYC 12.3 18.5 $228 $46 3.74 $182 $14.76 20% 17.0 0.0 37% 0 ABGX 14.0 16 $224 $57 4.07 $167 $11.93 25% 21.0 3.8 30% 0 PGNS 17.2 14 $240 $65 3.79 $175 $10.21 27% 62.6 61.1 2% 0 PCOP 20.2 10 $202 $40 1.98 $162 $8.02 20% 105.7 92.2 34% 62 59% REGN 31.00 6.5 $202 $100 3.23 $102 $3.27 50% 53.8 45.2 9% 15 28% MOGN 15.0 12 $180 $16 1.07 $164 $10.93 9% 17.0 20.0 -19% 20 118% OSIP 21.4 6 $128 $22 1.04 $106 $4.96 17% 28.0 19.5 38% 0 AXPH 30.0 4 $120 $65 2.17 $55 $1.83 54% 78.6 47.4 48% 0 LKST 11.90 11 $131 $27 2.23 $104 $8.77 20% 23.8 12.0 45% 0 ONXX 11.4 10 $114 $7 0.61 $107 $9.39 6% 30.6 9.3 305% 0 NBIX 18.8 5 $94 $56 2.98 $38 $2.02 60% 28.5 16.0 22% 0 NPSP 12.5 7.5 $94 $40 3.20 $54 $4.30 43% 23.4 3.6 50% 0 VLTS 19.6 4.5 $88 $29 1.48 $59 $3.02 33% 18.7 8.1 37% 0 CGPI 8.6 9 $77 $10 1.17 $67 $7.83 13% 16.0 3.0 130% 0 SNAP 10.7 6 $64 $56 5.23 $8 $0.77 87% 19.0 9.0 18% 0 PARS 37.0 1.5 $56 $2 0.06 $53 $1.44 4% 6.1 1.5 200% 1.2 20% TTP 13.1 3 $39 $9 0.69 $30 $2.31 23% 11.5 0.0 128% 0 SIBI 9.5 4.5 $43 $13 1.37 $30 $3.13 30% 25.5 7.0 142% 3 12% BTRN 8.6 4 $34 $16 1.87 $18 $2.13 47% 17.2 8.0 58% 0 0% CTII 18.4 1 $18 $12 0.65 $6 $0.35 65% 22.3 8.8 112% 0 All numbers in Millions ALKS 9 month data,SIBI lawsuit not included,LGND warrants not included. Sales is MY estimates for '99…. Feel free to "chip in" Please! Sls/Exp is my lame attempt to compare "sustainable" revenues to expenses,ie. 100% would supposedly be sustainable 0 Burn. Burn is % of current cash expected to be burned in 12 months. "T-Val" is technology value

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