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Politics : Ask Michael Burke

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To: Knighty Tin who wrote (59373)5/14/1999 2:13:00 PM
From: BSGrinder  Read Replies (1) of 132070
 
Michael,
I think I am inclined to agree with LT that short-term inflation and higher interest rates are the first step towards the unraveling of the asset bubble, with the ultimate result a deflationary depression.

Remember your point about how bond prices are a function of supply and demand as well as inflation expectations? You have made the case for there being an over-supply of debt, which will not go away just because inflation fears subside. Perhaps T-bonds will suffer less than corporates, but isn't the spread more likely to expand by T-bonds lowering more gradually, rather than rising while corporates get bashed? Won't bond buyers require more interest to compensate for the weakening dollar, if "our disastrous economy" becomes more apparent?
Thanks for your thoughts,
/Kit
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