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Microcap & Penny Stocks : Globalstar Telecommunications Limited GSAT
GSAT 62.25+6.2%Dec 19 9:30 AM EST

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To: djane who wrote (4615)5/14/1999 11:20:00 PM
From: Andmoreagain  Read Replies (1) of 29987
 
djane: I can confirm that Iridium is cutting not only the per minute cost of using their system, but the monthly access fee as well. From a user standpoint, this is great news, since cost is definitely an impediment to "powering up" the phone. From an investment standpoint, Iridium is a moot point, as we all know...

Here's a question likely to produce divergent replies: Given the $600 million financing need Globalstar has - to get to service initiation - and the added $600 million to get to cash flow breakeven, is Wall Street's preponderance of "buy" ratings for Globalstar somehow fee-motivated? I'd bet a couple bucks that it is...

Take away the potential for syndicate business, and how many "buy" ratings would there be?

Globalstar needs 1.3 million subscribers to generated positive EPS. Let's see how Iridium's lower prices increase their subscriber base, then let's see - if a substantial increase does not occur - how well Globalstar ramps up.

Getting a remote Indian/Chinese/Brazilian village to adopt Globalstar might be easy if the local SP is willing to forego some profitability to subsidize the endeavor, but even assuming that...how much marketing expertise does a third world SP have? Enough to generate 1.3 million users? If shortfalls occur, they won't be made up by travelling business persons (as Iridium discovered). And if there are a million oil company personnel just itching to grab a satphone, I'll be amazed...

OK...send the hate mail. I'm ready.
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