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Strategies & Market Trends : 50% Gains Investing

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To: Dale Baker who wrote (6125)5/16/1999 5:23:00 PM
From: CatLadyRead Replies (1) of 118717
 
That would've caught the low points pretty well. (Buying MSFT on 20% dips)

System test with an arbitrary exit at 110% of the 89 day EMA, Entry at 80% of the highest close in the previous 180 days.

Trying other values from 75% to 85% either produced larger drawdowns or missed opportunities.


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System Report - Pullback 20%

System Parameters
System notes
Enter long CLOSE < .80 * HHV(CLOSE, 180)
Close long CLOSE > 1.1 * Mov(C,89,E)
Initial equi 5000
Positions Long
Entry trade Open
Entry trade 1
Exit trade p Open
Exit trade d 1
Entry commis 25 points
Exit commiss 25 points
Interest rat 0%
Margin req. 50%

System Report - Pullback 20%

MICROSOFT CORP Trades
...
--- Out 1/2/92 7/28/93 0.00 0.00 Enter long
1 Long 7/28/93 4/26/94 372.04 0.35 Close long
--- Out 4/26/94 10/5/95 0.00 0.00 Enter long
2 Long 10/5/95 10/30/95 213.91 0.70 Close long
--- Out 10/30/95 11/21/95 0.00 0.00 Enter long
3 Long 11/21/95 2/12/96 039.57 0.75 Close long
--- Out 2/12/96 12/26/97 0.00 0.00 Enter long
4 Long 12/26/97 1/29/98 323.13 0.00 Close long
--- Out 1/29/98 10/8/98 0.00 0.00 Enter long
5 Long 10/8/98 11/24/98 703.82 0.00 Close long
--- Out 11/24/98 5/14/99 0.00 0.00

System Report - Pullback 20%

MICROSOFT CORP Results
Total net pro 25652.47 Open position N/A
Percent gain/ 513.05 Annual percen 69.61
Initial inves 5000.00 Interest earn 0.00
Current posit Out Date position /24/98
Buy/Hold prof 160095.88 Days in test 2690
Buy/Hold pct 3201.92 Annual B/H pc 434.46
Total closed 5 Commissions p 250.00
Avg profit pe 5130.49 Avg Win/Avg L N/A
Total long tr 5 Total short t 0
Winning long 5 Winning short 0
Total winning 5 Total losing 0
Amount of win 25652.47 Amount of los 0.00
Average win 5130.49 Average loss N/A
Largest win 11703.82 Largest loss 0.00
Average lengt 64.40 Average lengt N/A
Longest winni 190 Longest losin 0
Most consecut 5 Most consecut 0
Total bars ou 1550 Average lengt 258.33
Longest out p 475
System close 0.00 Profit/Loss i 100.00
System open d -646.88 Reward/Risk i 97.54
Max open trad -1221.86 Buy/Hold inde -83.98
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