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Politics : Ask Michael Burke

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To: Ilaine who wrote (59829)5/20/1999 9:40:00 PM
From: Tommaso  Read Replies (1) of 132070
 
AMG and Trim Tabs show outflows this week, which is an important (if perhaps very temporary) shift, given the ebullience of the last few months.

Also, The Federal Reserve figures show firmness in the direction of restraint. Monetary aggregates on the order of 4% for M1, 5% or 6% for M2 and M3--versus 13% for the latter early this year.

I don't know if you saw my earlier posts today about the acceleration in margin credit among brokerages reporting to the NYSE --in the last four months. Up 29% in those four months as opposed to a "normal" increase of about 7% in similar periods 92-97.

All figures about breadth of the markets also show a morbid concentration in a few leaders.

I haven't looked at A/D chart lines for the indices lately, but last time I did, it was a classic pre-bear pattern.

Yet, as we must admit, nothing ever predicts changes or directions very accurately.

As a whole, stocks have never been so overpriced in America. Although with our readily inflatable currency "overpriced" has truly entered a new era.
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