CoCensys Message Board - Msg: 9664391

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Biotech / Medical : CoCensys

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To: Anaxagoras who wrote (168)	5/21/1999 11:08:00 AM
From: Anaxagoras	of 190

Let me emphasize that I'm not the originator of this model that I use below, and frankly, this is the first company I've run through it, but it makes some sense. However, it is very crude in the hands of a non-expert like myself when it comes to predicting market penetration of the products. I have tried to err on the side of heavy conservatism as I think you'll see. I would appreciate any criticisms folks may have. I've obtained the data on the pipeline and the market size for certain indications from the company's web site, specifically the page here: cocensys.com The market size data I'm using is what they give for actual 1998 worldwide sales, not the higher 2001 projections. cont. Anaxagoras

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