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Technology Stocks : America On-Line (AOL)

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To: Venditâ„¢ who wrote (18388)5/25/1999 4:04:00 PM
From: Steeny  Read Replies (1) of 41369
 
TA: The solid trendline we were on has now been crushed. If we add up volume for the past few sell days, we can see a solid liquidation. ALL technical supports that I know of have now been breached. ALL rallies have been extinguished. The next support base is 110(100dma). This should have some stochoastic support. Below that, there is a very longterm trendline at about 100. IMHO, we are headed for 92-100. This would represent a 50% 1 year retracement from the highs. 92 is also the 200dma. We should also see a tough area at Nsdaq 2000. SP1300 and 1290 fell fairly easily. S&P supports are 1279, then 1268.
Upside, 120 will now show resistance, followed by 125(2 pockets of heavy trading).Next is 135 (25 and 50 dma). 140-145 is the heaviest area of resistance.
Fundamentally, AOL is fine. I do not think this selloff is about AOL. It is about the high PE dump continuing. There is a growing view that internet stocks do not deserve their PEs, especially relative to computer firms. I would not be surprised to see a longterm valuation of AOL at around 2 or 3 times the major computer firms.
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