SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Biotech / Medical : Sepracor-Looks very promising

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: Bob Swift who wrote (3003)5/26/1999 12:58:00 AM
From: David Howe  Read Replies (1) of 10280
 
<< By worst case scenario, I mean a very hard nosed look at each of the drugs and give an estimate(a number) for the probability of it works better base on what is currently known and another probability on it's being successfully launched. >>

The worst case is off course 0. This stock could go to zero.

A more reasonable worst case as you describe above would result in the stock trending down to the 10 - 15 range and staying there for many many years. This would be the result of the products not living up to expectations and SEPR's partners all dropping out one at a time.

Back to the bio-tech level and back to issuing stock or seeking financing from other sources.

That's my vision of the worst case scenario.

I don't believe that that scenario is in our future. Just the opposite.

Dave

Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext