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Technology Stocks : Ericsson overlook?
ERIC 9.395+1.1%Nov 21 9:30 AM EST

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To: tero kuittinen who wrote (3263)5/26/1999 8:08:00 PM
From: Caxton Rhodes  Read Replies (2) of 5390
 
GSM is Toast:

Private Chinese carrier plans huge CDMA network
eet.com

This is a report on Q but has good market share projection graphs.
smithbarneyresearch.com

It says:
1997 GSM 33% of market, Cdma 4%
1998 GSM 41% of market, Cdma 6%
2003 GSM 51% of market, Cdma 21% (Ok this may not fall under the exact definition of toast)

I'll bet you that cdma is closer to 45% than 21% in 2003. Why? Because cheaper and better will win in China and all other low teledensity areas! The snowball will only get bigger.

Caxton

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