>> Not in Europe and Japan.
To my knowledge, there never were any railroad tycoons outside the US. The comparison is not quite the same.
>> I think the "demise" of the PC is much too early to call, probably wrong.
It is too early. PC will be around for foreseeable future, but soon it will have to compete with other toys. I happen to absolutely love my Palm Pilot and as someone who for years looked for a similar device, I can tell you that barring recent imitations, nothing comes even close to it IMO. Its most recent version has a built in wireless modem to connect you to a special Internet service for $10 per month. The day that they add voice to it, you will have the closest thing to Captain Kirk's handy gizmo.
Anyway, the point that I and Katherine [I think] are making, is that revolutionary transition involves pain, risk, and courage. It is rare to find a person or a company that is willing and able to go through with that. Which is why the average Ivy League graduate is a lot more successful than the average drop out, but more often than not, it is the drop outs who become Bill Gates, Larry Allisons, or Albert Einestines of the world; there just is not enough incentive for a successful entity to rock the boat.
Sun Tzu
P.S. Take a look at the 15 year chart of IBM to see how their short sightedness in the PC world affected them. What has saved them is software not the mainframe sales.
PPS, IBM is still not as highly regarded as it once was. |
