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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials
AMAT 230.77+0.9%3:59 PM EST

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To: Katherine Derbyshire who wrote (30687)5/27/1999 10:02:00 PM
From: Ian@SI  Read Replies (2) of 70976
 
This is a red letter day. Agreeing twice on 2 different subjects.

Rather than the law of supply and demand which all parties fully understand, IMO, it's the belief by each DRAM maker that they can innovate faster or better or both, than each other competing DRAM maker, thus giving the innovator a cost advantage; and the ability to profitably take market share.

It seems that the pace of innovation in chip making is surprising even the most optimistic among them.

Thus a 64Mb chip now sells for the same price as a 4Mb chip about 3 years ago, or a 16Mb chip about 1 1/2 years ago. Guess what the price of a 256Mb chip will be 2 years from now or a 1GB chip 1 or 2 years after that.

It's the innovation, IMO, which keeps the chip makers optimistic and the equipment makers profitable.

FWIW,
Ian.
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