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Technology Stocks : Broadband Wireless Access [WCII, NXLK, WCOM, satellite..]

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To: SteveG who wrote (259)5/28/1999 4:21:00 AM
From: SteveG  Read Replies (1) of 1860
 
CSFB/Governali/Littlefield - WCII: Possible Conversion Of Bonds On
June 2, Has Positive Implications

BUY
MID CAP
$57.875
WinStar Communications (wcii)

Possible conversion of 14% sr sub notes into 5.9 mil shares
of common stock on June 2, has positive implications.

Summary

If WCII's stock closes above $42 3/8 on June 2, its 14% sr
sub cvt notes can cvt into 5.9 mil common shares. If it
closes below $42 3/8, the price will reset for another 30 days.
There are several positive implications for earnings that
would correspond with this event.

First, debt would decrease by $122.3 million, reducing total
long-term debt to $1.4 bil. The notes accrete interest
expense at 14% annually. If converted, reported 1999 interest
expense would decrease by nearly $10 mil.

Second, the anti-dilutive impact of additional shares would
reduce our estimated 1999 EPS loss to $12.61 from $14.05 (
including the impact of reduced interest expense of about $0.20
per share.)

Third, our DCF derived year-end 1999 price target of $70
already assumed the conversion of the notes to calculate
fully diluted shares outstanding and the related decrease in
debt. Thus, no change.

Price Target Mkt.Value 52-Week
5/25/991 (12mo.) Div. Yield (MM) Price Range
$57.875 $70 None $3,842.9 $10 - $55
Annual Prev. Abs. Rel. EV/ EBITDA/
EPS EPS P/E P/E EBITDA Share
12/00E (12.33) NA NA (3.11)
12/99E (13.88) NA NA (6.00)
12/98A (11.96) NA NA (5.12)
March June Sept. Dec. FY End
Dec. 31
1999E (3.72)A (3.72) (3.38) (3.08)
1998E (2.54) (2.77) (2.83) (3.80)

ROIC (12/98)
Total Debt (3/99) $1.526
Book Value/Share (3/99) NM
WACC (12/98)
Debt/Total Capital (3/99) 100%
Common Shares3 66.4
EP Trend2
Est. 5-Yr EPS Growth NM
Est. 5-Yr. Div. Growth NM

1On 5/25/99 DJIA closed at 10531.1 and S&P 500 at 1284.4.
2Economic profit trend.
3Shares outstanding reflect fully diluted shares.

WinStar is a competitive local exchange provider using 38 GHz
technology to build out local telecom networks in major
markets throughout the country.
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