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Strategies & Market Trends : India Coffee House

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To: Mohan Marette who wrote (4415)5/30/1999 11:03:00 PM
From: Mohan Marette  Read Replies (1) of 12475
 
Karl Inderfurth on Pak militants-"..they have to depart and they will depart.."

"Clearly the Indians are not going to cede this territory that these militants
have taken," he said. "They have to depart, and they will depart, either
voluntarily or because the Indians take them out."

Karl F. Inderfurth-U.S Assistant Secretary of State for South Asian Affairs.
================================
Here are two reason among many why the militants will depart.
bharat-rakshak.com
bharat-rakshak.com

================================
nytimes.com
Risks High in Kashmir Clash, Even Huge,
U.S. Experts Warn


By PHILIP SHENON

ASHINGTON -- The United States is warning that fighting
between India and Pakistan in Kashmir risks "spinning out of
control" and could result in the fourth war between them.

Clinton administration officials and American-based specialists say that
although they see little threat of a nuclear confrontation, the situation is
unpredictable.

"There is always the possibility of events spinning out of control," said
Karl F. Inderfurth, Assistant Secretary of State for South Asian Affairs.
"Clearly the ingredients are there for miscalculation. Our hope is that both
sides will take steps to move this in a peaceful direction."

Clinton administration officials say that American diplomats in India and
Pakistan have offered to mediate the dispute and that Inderfurth called in
the Indian and Pakistani ambassadors in Washington on Thursday to
encourage a peaceful resolution.

Still, American officials acknowledge that the United States and other
nations may ultimately have little influence in ending the fighting.

Inderfurth said in an interview that he believed the fighting would end only
after the Muslim separatists who have entered Indian-controlled Kashmir
had left.He would not comment on the question of possible Pakistani
backing for the separatists.

"Clearly the Indians are not going to cede this territory that these militants
have taken," he said. "They have to depart, and they will depart, either
voluntarily or because the Indians take them out."


Askari Rizvi, a professor of South Asian studies at Columbia University,
said he thought the confrontation was the most dangerous since 1971,
when India and Pakistan went to war, leading to the creation of
Bangladesh from East Pakistan. "It is potentially very dangerous in the
sense that it could escalate," said Rizvi, who was born in Pakistan.

Stephen P. Cohen, a South Asian specialist at the Brookings Institution,
noted that Kashmir has been the scene of a "whole series of little roller
coaster bumps like this" and that "my judgment is that the risk of war is
not greater than it has been before."
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