Is a simple compounded growth rate (somewhat arbitrary) the best way to forecast future earning potential?
Brian,
there you go again, snotty little high school kid trying to tell the college boys that their model is arbitrary?
Sorry, JRH, your roommate's model is indeed simplistic and more suitable for the posters on the DELL or CSCO threads. <g> Most of us have EXCEL and can plot that in a few minutes. If not, we can always ask Brian, this 16 yr old high school kid, to do it for us.
Seriously, Brian, a more interesting model can be created using the SSB/Alex Cena report as a base. Since you are not a competing analyst, yet, you can simply copy his entire analysis and create an EXCEL work book with the data. Then you can plug in your own projections, run "what if" scenario for different probabilities to come up with a range of results.
QCOM is a very dynamic company in a high growth industry. Once you have the model, it is easy to add and delete worksheets to reflect the new businesses that will be generating revenue, such as Wireless Knowledge.
If you start now and build this model, I am sure you can attach that to your college application next year. It should get you into any university you like. Tuition is, of course, paid for by QC. By the way, make sure your model is available to all of us here who are too lazy to do one ourselves.
Ramsey |