Fred Rittereiser (ASTN chairman) quoted in Philadelphia Inquirer article on extended trading hours:
phillynews.com
Stock exchanges prepare to offer extended hours
It's one way to capture online traders' business, some believe. Others say it won't be worth the expenses.
By Joseph N. DiStefano
and Bob Fernandez INQUIRER STAFF WRITERS
Someday, perhaps as early as July, investors will be able to hurry home from work, pop dinner in the microwave, and settle down at their computers for an evening of buying and selling investments.
"I can see the Brady Bunch sitting around with their dogs, trading stocks," groaned Arnold Staloff, head of Center City's Bloom Staloff Corp., which trades stocks and options in Philadelphia, New York and Chicago.
Staloff, like other professionals, says "around-the-clock" trading is inevitable, given the rise of the Internet and the globalization of money markets. But he worries that the public, especially Internet-obsessed speculators, isn't ready. Nor, perhaps, are the nation's stock markets.
In the past, buyers and sellers of stock could meet and do business only on the playing fields provided by the nation's traditional stock exchanges and the brokers who made their livings there.
But new electronic technologies and Internet-savvy investors, with support from the Securities and Exchange Commission, are creating alternative markets. The more venturesome exchanges are trying to win new customers by extending trading hours beyond the traditional 9:30 a.m. to 4 p.m.
On Thursday, the heads of the giant New York and Nasdaq stock markets said they are reluctantly making plans to extend the time for buying and selling stocks to as late as 10 p.m.
New York Stock Exchange chairman Richard Grasso and Nasdaq chairman Frank Zarb said they hoped to extend their exchanges' hours in the coming months, though no date has been set. But they may be playing catch-up: Unlike their online rivals, both will need approval from the Securities and Exchange Commission, which could take weeks or months, according to spokesman John Heine.
Industry executives with ties to both markets, interviewed Friday, privately described the NYSE and Nasdaq posturing as "a game of chicken" or "two schoolkids in a fight they hope the principal will break up quickly" - the principal being Arthur Levitt, chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission.
At least one electronic trading system, Eclipse Trading in New York, is planning to begin accepting evening trades in July. Morgan Stanley, Salomon Smith Barney and other established brokerages have promised to help Eclipse "make markets" in listed stocks to ensure that small investors can complete their trades even after the big exchanges have closed.
Trading volumes may be low initially but will grow over the next 12 months, predicted Fred Rittereiser, chairman of Ashton Technology Group, a Philadelphia developer of electronic trading systems. "I think there will be a big market for 6 to 11 o'clock at night a year from now. We're building systems to adapt to that," he said.
But securities professionals, especially those representing pension and mutual funds and other institutions, which account for most stock trading volume, predicted that the biggest players would continue to go home at 4 p.m.
"They're only suggesting this to accommodate a small number of people who want to come home after work and trade stocks," said Howard Schwartz, chairman of Lynch, Jones & Ryan, a New York institutional brokerage. "These people should get a life, or learn how to set limit orders," which automatically execute daytime trades when a stock reaches certain price ranges.
His clients, which include 850 pension plans, have "zero interest" in longer hours, Schwartz added. "They need to go home at the end of the day. This could be a non-event: If nobody's buying, who are these people going to do business with?"
Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Levitt last week echoed these concerns, cautioning that "before widespread trading begins outside of regular hours . . . a number of investor-protection and market-integrity issues need to be addressed."
Among those concerns: that investors be told there may be few buyers or sellers in the evening hours, and that prices could be distorted as a result.
Extended hours are expected to mean higher operating costs and more fees for those brokerages that concentrate on small Internet investors.
"For the retail shops, it's probably a good thing," said Jeff King, head of Quaker Securities, a large institutional brokerage in Phoenixville. "But the institutions are only going to work so many hours. I'm glad I'm close to retirement."
But for many firms, the main effect might be to spread existing trades across a longer day. "We don't think [longer hours] will have much, if any" effect on overall trading volumes, said Madeline Hopkins, spokeswoman for Wayne's SunGard Data Systems, which controls Brass Utility (Brut), an electronic network that processes trades for the Ameritrade and Etrade online brokerages.
Mutual-fund managers worry that extended hours could confuse investors about the daily value of their portfolios. Officials at Fidelity Investments, of Boston, and the Vanguard Group, of Malvern, the nation's largest fund families, said they plan to continue posting net asset values as of 4 p.m., even if the markets stay open later.
Securities professionals aren't the only ones to question the benefit of longer trading hours.
Even day traders, who have fought hard to win greater market access for small investors, worry that a longer trading day will, paradoxically, make it tougher for many independent investors, forcing them to rely again on professionals.
"The positive aspects are, it helps cut the fat, it helps eliminate the middleman, and computerizes everything. And it opens up to the world, quite possibly, to a wider group of people," said Jeff Cooper, cofounder of the Tradehard.com Web site and author of Hit and Run Trading, a short-term investing guide.
"But what am I supposed to do? Put my wife on the night shift? Even Michael Jordan can't play a straight four quarters," Cooper added.
"I think it's going to be a horrible thing. You'll have limited participants, spreads [between buy and sell orders] will grow, and nobody is going to want to take the risk," added Mark Seleznov, a Wynnefield native who is managing partner of Trendtrade.com, a California haven for hundreds of day traders.
According to Seleznov, West Coast brokerages such as Jeffries & Co. attempted to make off-hours trading available in the 1980s, but found few takers. Seleznov blamed the current day-trading push on big Wall Street firms, which own many of the emerging computer trading systems and networks, and which, he said, "want to get rid of" professional day traders like his clients.
Staloff says international currency markets provide a model for how extended or 24-hour trading will likely function.
On the all-day, all-night currency options floor Staloff helped start at the Philadelphia Stock Exchange, purchase and sale prices come closest at times when daylight trading hours in the United States overlap with those of potential trading partners in Europe or Asia.
During those hours, there are more people looking to trade dollars for euros or yen, and buyers and sellers have enough potential partners that a relatively firm price can be established and reported.
But during off-peak hours, "bids drop, offers rise, and spreads widen," Staloff noted. At such times, "all that's left are the professionals," who can dictate prices to the few customers desperate enough to need to buy or sell at off-peak hours, he said.
Market operators also are worried whether the nation's patchwork of busy trading systems can handle increased hours.
"A rush into extended hours is absurd," said Meyer "Sandy" Frucher, chairman of the Philadelphia Stock Exchange. "It would be chaotic. The infrastructure is not in place for anyone."
Staff writer Miriam Hill contributed to this report. |