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Strategies & Market Trends : Mr. Pink's Picks: selected event-driven value investments

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To: VIPER85730 who wrote (9284)6/1/1999 2:00:00 AM
From: Marconi  Read Replies (2) of 18998
 
Hello VIPER85730:
Iridium satellites have a planned life of 5 years and then they need replacement. Without the up front cash they expected to reap to carry the debt and possess a unique infrastructure that would be prohibitively expensive to front the capital to duplicate by potential competitors, leaves Iridium doomed as going concern. Management's cautions are real, serious, and hold bleak prospects. Beyond financing, their technology is aging significantly and is on a relative plateau from the high up front capital approach they buttonholed themselves into that militates against them developing successfully out of their current position. Literally and figuratively Iridium was a launch based on rapid acceleration...it is apparent they have realized instead a huge inertia that is unlikely to get off the ground. I am tempted to short IRID, but there are better opportunities for trading elsewhere.
Best regards,
m
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