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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)
AMZN 226.10+2.5%3:59 PM EST

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To: BGR who wrote (59745)6/1/1999 9:27:00 PM
From: Sarmad Y. Hermiz  Read Replies (1) of 164684
 
>> What I don't understand is that with crude and metal prices are dropping (which are forward indicators) how can the market be so concerned about inflation? And how can AA go up when Al prices has weak?
<<

Have you been reading my thoughts through my internet connection ? Probably many people are wondering the same thing. Beside AA, PD (copper) also went up 5 pts in the midst of lowest copper prices in years. How's this for explanation. AA and PD are lowest cost producers. Lower metal prices will drive marginal producers out of business and force the shuttering of capacity. That will give the survivors bigger market share and also create a shortage down the line. When Asia demand comes back, AA and its counterparts will be able to raise prices and benefit from higher volumes.

But you're right re gold and oil. However gold has central bank selling, so it is not a good indicator anymore. That leaves oil. For sure CPI will be low this time due to low fuel prices. So the only worry is the core CPI. If that is high, then maybe we'll get the the higher rates, and maybe the relief rally also.
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