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Technology Stocks : CYRIX / NSM

NSM 18.27

0.0%

Jul 31 5:00 PM EST

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To: dumbmoney who wrote (32622)	6/2/1999 8:15:00 AM
From: Labrador	Read Replies (1) of 33344

>>Let's assume that there's a 10% chance that Foveon will become a $1 billion company (market value) in a couple years - pretty generous assumption. That gives an 'expected' return of $100 million, or $45 million for NSM's stake. $45 million is a mere 1.5% of NSM's current market value - insignificant.<< Confused by your analysis. Let's say that there is a 50% chance that the Foveon could turn the photography industry on its ear within 5 years. Why is the market capitalization only $1 billion. Why not $100 billion? [How did you get $1 billion -- why would the company remain a small cap stock? Why not a Kodak at a minimum?] How did you get a 10% chance? Is this just a number you picked out of the sky?

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