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Technology Stocks : S3 (Multimedia semi's place 2be)
SIII 0.00010000.0%May 12 5:00 PM EST

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To: Keith Dykstra who wrote (8274)3/14/1997 4:22:00 PM
From: stockroach   of 9477
 
Sometimes you just have to say What The F^#*. Go out have
some ( alot ) green beers, Me I got a BIG rum and coke going.

OK - S3 - stands for suddenly shitty stock or stock sliding south.
Now for the good news.

Compaq has just released the 2 newest Presarios and both have S3 on
board. We should see announcement soon. Announcement on AGP coming this
month, so I am told.

Paine Webber Research by John Lazlo: Here is highlights.
Dated March 6th. Recent conversation with S3 management.
1) "On track to meet our estimates of $139M Rev. & .30 / share vs.
110M and .25. Sales strong, S3 remaines the undisputed market leader
in 2D & 3D".
2) Intel - is currently developing a 3D graphics chip code name Auburn.
" We understand that the completion of the design has been delayed from
the original target of July 97. We now expect the chip to be released
in September, suggesting that production quantities will not be
available until sometime in 98. We also understand that the first
edition of Auburn WILL NOT OFFER SIGNIFICNT PERFORMANCE ENHANCEMENTS
OVER THE SECOND GENERATION VIRGE.Moreover the Auburn solution will
be expensive and will not be able to compete with S3 Virge $25
motherboard solution.Intel does have a second chip in developement,
but will not be available until sometime in 98".
3)" The stock has come under presure in recent weeks for no particular
reason. Although there has been MODEST insider selling and the resignation of the
CFO George Hervey was unexpected, the fundamentals of the company
remain solid. We are not aware of any analyst reducing estimates or
downgrading the stock. Moreover, now that the expectations for Auburn
have been stretched back to 98 and no other competitive entrants will
appear to have significant volumes ready in time for the Christmas selling
season, it would appear that S3 near term competitive position has
IMPROVED".
4) "We reiterate our buy (1) rating. The stock is cheap as it is
currently trading at 12x our 97 EPS estimate of $1.35 and 10x our
98 EPS of $1.70. Our price target of $34 assumes a historic 20 P/E
times our 98 EPS projection".
Lowlights -" Risk include a slowdown in PC unit demand and inceased
competition".
Read at your own risk. My spelling might be off - Damn that Rum has
some punch.
Grogg
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