ho ho ho , this tells me how well you read, I assess your reading level at the 3rd grade level.
Looks like theres a "sell a kidney" thread for when you guys lose it all in gold.....
I have been a vocal gold bear for the past 2 months, but I realize that your schedule of sleeping till 2pm eastern and then partying at night with those value-priced CA wines, takes up much of your reading time -vbg-
Lose it all in Gold .... Ho Ho HO.....
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To: Lucretius Taurus (40197 ) From: John Pitera ( Ignore ) Tuesday, May 11 1999 12:39AM ET Reply # of 44776
I think Gold is 6-8 months away from a 50-75% increase.....I fear it may come from a 200-220 $ base...
If you think that stocks,bonds, the dollar and gold can go down in tandem......it shows that we are reading from different playbooks.. who has the Joe Willie playbook....complete with a white fur coat and tales of the mystical year of 1969?
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To: IceShark (40156 ) From: John Pitera ( Ignore ) Monday, May 10 1999 9:56PM ET Reply # of 44776
Yes, I have declared that Gold is going ot 250 and then to 220 after that! I have looked at it more tonight and we are pretty certain that Gold is in for another significant downleg...
Maybe we will screw around and correct up for a week or so but. My work has the bigger trend resuming its down move -ng-
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To: Lucretius Taurus (39967 ) From: John Pitera ( Ignore ) Monday, May 10 1999 1:37PM ET Reply # of 44775
Yes, I do know something, Gold's going down -g-....that's how I feel about it after this break....what about your 5000 "this is fact" statements about your many next day crashes -g-
I hope gold and some of these gold stocks rally as I have some extra selling to do. I am planning on staying a little long them, but just to watch them.
Gold has just had the biggest 2 day price move of the past year or 2 and now you want to bet on the trend for the rest of the week?
if gold goes lower than 278 by the end of the week that means that it's likely on the way to 200 -ng-
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To: MKC (39426 ) From: John Pitera ( Ignore ) Friday, May 7 1999 10:41AM ET Reply # of 44775
Not at the moment, I am concerned with Gold that the ease of movement is to the downside, big moves tend to cluster in the direction of the primary trend and over the past year that has been down.
Gold is consistently making lower highs and lower lows.
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these are the downtrendlines that we have to contend with
decisionpoint.com
At the bottom is what the EWT is saying about Gold and SIlver. He is pretty bearish on Gold and I getting nervous about this scenerio of a break of the 270 level.
I just sold 63% of my PAAS on Friday, and will probably sell another 20-25% very soon. keepin only a little , I am also getting ready to sell my ABX and only keep HM.
There is a chance that the xau and gold have alot of upside but. My work makes the situation too uncertain with too much risk reward for me in the next 3-5 months.
I hope I'm wrong for all the gold bugs in Myth land....but...
If you talk negative fundamentals on Gold....It gives you no interest, their are store and insurance costs associated with it.
and if you get no capital appreciation then you only have insurance, whihc you pay insurance on.
The price level at which mines can profitable mine gold continues to go down as well.
The fact that oil is through the roof and gold and silver have done essentially nothing tells me we have another leg on the downside.
If we were to get a decline to 200 or even 240-250 and it had the marks of a big bottom. I'll be putting mucho bucks into the precious metals.
May EWT
. GOLD & SILVER Silver completed Intermediate wave (1) down at $4.81. Since the decline from the $5.82 high appears to be five waves, we are confident that this is the first subwave of Primary wave C that will draw prices below $3.48 before it ends. This remains EWT's ultimate objective for silver. Near term, wave (2) produced a rally, as allowed for last month, and has satisfied the minimum expectations for a complete upward correction. Thus, wave (3), which is usually the longest and strongest wave in an impulse sequence, is now due on the downside. For the time being, wave (2) retains the option to trace out a more complex corrective pattern, possibly carrying it up toward $5.38-$5.43, the 62% retracement of wave (1) and a fourth wave of lesser degree. Such price action would only temporarily delay the onset of wave (3). Gold continues to meander sideways in its 15-month trading range between $270.75 and $315.20. Last month, it approached the bottom of this range, and EWT commented that bullish sentiment had reached “the lowest level among professionals toward gold in 7 1/2 years.” This sentiment extreme suggested that gold would try to bounce from near its early April lows. Prices did push up to a high of $285.65, but this measly 3% move from $277 transformed sentiment from 15% bulls to 53% bulls in four weeks! The April and October 1998 gold tops each sported 10-day sentiment readings of 58% and 56%, respectively. The ability of this minor bounce to push sentiment so quickly to a level that has coincided with past market tops reveals that professionals are far too eager to jump on the
bullish bandwagon. This type of behavior is bearish and supports our long-standing wave count. It is an excel-lent setup for a decisive break of $270. Gold continues to track the two near-term Elliott wave patterns discussed in April. The current bounce is either a small-degree second wave, or it is wave (E) of a Primary wave B contracting triangle. Both counts indicate that the current rise is a correction that will end under $305.20, and both portend another decline, ultimately carrying gold beneath $200. In April, gold and silver stocks took a temporary respite from their bear markets. The XAU has rallied a bit more than we thought probable, retracing nearly 50% of the decline from the 87.52 high. Our expectation is for this bounce to end soon and lead to another leg down. However, the maximum potential of this ad-vance should be 75.65, which is the 62% retracement of the decline from 87.52 and very near the January 11 spike high.
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