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Non-Tech : Ashton Technology (ASTN)

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To: M. Frank Greiffenstein who wrote (1494)6/3/1999 1:16:00 PM
From: AJ Berger  Read Replies (1) of 4443
 
How to play the Gamblers Falacy to your Advantage

while it's true after 20 reds, black still only
has a 50/50 chance of coming up on the 21st bet.

However, if you consider that each 50/50 type bet
should average 50/50 after 20 bets, you can play
this situation to your advantage if you ALWAYS
double your bet on each throw. Then when Black
comes up, you will make up your previous losses
and still come out ahead, this assumes you had
enough money to keep doubling your bet each time
till you finally hit. It is for this reason that you
see "00" and crapping out, so the house does
not keep losing to such basic betting systems.

Since stocks don't have "00" trapdoors, Zebra
could theoretically come out ahead, if he is
always willing to increase his bet to cover the
cumalitive losses from previous failures till
he finally "hits" correctly, however we all know
that stock trading is seldom as simple as any
flip of a coin bet.
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