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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 685.33+1.1%Jan 21 4:00 PM EST
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To: American Spirit who wrote (15801)6/3/1999 4:02:00 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (2) of 99985
 
AS, 1/4 point hike is priced into the bond market, not the stock market. and a continued tightening stance after the first hike is priced into neither market. whether the Fed continues to raise rates after the first hike or not is a matter of speculation at this point, as no-one can predict the future developments regarding economic pressures with any certainty. history would suggest that once rates are raised, they tend to be raised more than once. let me speculate though, that a sharp break in the stock market would make it rather more likely that one rate hike would be enough, as consumer spending would contract considerably in that case.

regards,

hb
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