Intel Corporation (INTC) Message Board

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC)

INTC 40.78

+0.7%

3:59 PM EST

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next

To: Doug Fowler who wrote (14212)	3/15/1997 7:44:00 AM
From: Jim Garrison	of 186894

Doug: IMO the low pe number you are using is too high. I use the NAIC SSG (stock selection guide), using 5 year history and my numbers are: year high pe low pe 1992 18.4 9.4 1993 14.3 8.2 1994 14.0 10.7 1995 19.8 8.0 1996 24.4 8.6 ------ average 18.4 9.0 Average 13.7 Look at the low pe numbers! Based on history, IMO there is a significant probability of a pe of 9, and IMHO a very good chance of less than 11 - it happened every other year! - judge for yourself. Using the hi,low average pe's, and the eps you indicated, gives: Low High Average pe's .......... 9.0 18.4 13.7 est est price est price est price year eps @low pe @high pe @avg pe 1997 $8.25 $74 $152 113 1998 $9.75 88 179 134 1999 $11.50 104 212 158 2000 $13.50 122 248 185 My ssg analysis indicates, for long term purchase, intel is toward higher end of buy range of 86<Buy<146 with upside/downside of 2.1 and estimated total return of 13.3. IMHO there is significant downside risk. Particularly with the competition getting going. That will present more profitable buying opportunities. Great company, stock price ahead of itself. (I own at average price of around 60). My opinion only. jim garrison

Report TOU Violation

Share This Post

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next