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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 671.910.0%Nov 14 4:00 PM EST

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To: jjs_ynot who wrote (16157)6/5/1999 8:02:00 PM
From: donald sew  Read Replies (2) of 99985
 
Dave,

Thanks for your analysis.

Although my system is somewhat complicated, I try to keep it simple/basic at times. Most of the indices have produced lower lowers which were preceded by lower highs, which is basicly a definition of a downtrend. That does not mean that we did not bottom, but we need confirmation as you stated.

To have good confirmation that this correction is over, we really need a higher high and not necessarily a new high. On the other hand the forth coming downswing would need to set a lower low to continue the downtrend. On more possibiity is that the market produces a LOWER HIGH and a HIGHER LOW which implies a TRIANGLE.

My point is that we really need confirmation in either direction. I am still bearish, but I will still look for confirmation day by day.

Although I have made strong opinions, I dont do it often. It just befuddles me how some can be so strong with their opinions. Its refreshing to hear objective analysis's where one requires further confirmation, regardless of their opinion.

seeya
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