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Politics : Ask Michael Burke
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To: Knighty Tin who wrote (61530)6/6/1999 1:49:00 PM
From: Skeeter Bug  Read Replies (2) of 132070
 
mike, i was in a meeting w/ some high up folks in my company. they
posted an estimate of product demand that looked like this:

99 00 01
40 60 65 (units)

then they posted our output as follows:

99 00 01
10 20 25 (units)

the multiplier (1000s, etc doesn't matter for this discussion).

i asked two questions.

1. what makes us believe that we are going to have a HUGE 80%+ drop
in unit demand two years out and, if this pans out as PLANNED, isn't
this a total disaster?

2. what makes us believe that we will be the company that supplies the
extra 5 and our very capable competitors will plan for and be
satisfied with 0% unit growth growth?

i didn't get an answer. worse yet, i don't think what i was saying
was even understood. it took me all of 2 seconds to see the impending disaster.

however, i have zero faith in these "estimates" anyway, so i'm playing
my job situation by ear. it just rattled me that such basic economic
concepts seem to fallen on deaf ears.
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