Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Anthony @ Equity Investigations, Dear Anthony, -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: If only I'd held who wrote (37931)	6/7/1999 5:59:00 PM
From: Nine_USA	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 122087

You are clearing not aware how CONSERVATIVE you are predicting the Dow going from 10900 to 20000 in 10.5 years. This is a compound rate of return of merely 5.4166 percent. If this is the optimistic performance you expect from equities, then you should put all your financial assets into 10 year fixed income and get the same yield or better, with NO RISK. Incidentally, a 10 percent return over 11.5 years would move the Dow from 10,900 to 32,617. --------------------------------------------------- <<by 2010, I have no doubt we will have hit Dow 20,000. Feel free to call me a leunatic, but that's my thinking>>

To: If only I'd held who wrote (37931)	6/7/1999 6:35:00 PM
From: Lucky888	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 122087

2010-- Seems so far away... I might not even be alive by then... L. How about 2070 :) I must be dead by then. who can predict where DOW is by 2070?

To: If only I'd held who wrote (37931)	6/7/1999 7:16:00 PM
From: Barronio	Respond to of 122087

I have no doubt we will have hit Dow 20,000. Feel free to call me a leunatic As Herb Herman pointed out, this is a very conservative call, and you could probably do better with treasury bonds. A quick calculation shows if the Dow does about as well in the next 10.5 years as it has in the previous 10.5 years, it will be at approximately 55,000. So your prediction would have been the equivalent of saying "Dow 4000 by 1999, call me a lunatic!" in 1989.