To: VidiVici who wrote (41932 ) 6/10/1999 4:56:00 PM From: BillyG Respond to of 50808
Are MPEG-2 chips a "DSP" or a "microperipheral"? DSPs, MPUs to pace chip industry growth, SIA says DSP sales will more than double and microprocessor sales will continue to outpace the industry, the Semiconductor Industry Association predicted in its mid-year forecast. MOS micro devices, which include microprocessors, DSPs, microcontrollers and microperipherals, will bounce back from a 1 percent overall market decline in 1998 to nearly 12 percent growth this year. DSPs are currently the industry's fastest growing major product line. The global DSP market will more than double in the next four years from $4.3 billion to nearly $10 billion in 2002. Microprocessors, which achieved a modest 5 percent growth last year, will achieve a 16 percent growth rate this year and nearly double from $23 billion in 1997 to $45 billion in 2002. While the yo-yo nature of the memory business is expected to persist, the SIA sees a throughline of growth behind the volatility. The memory market, which declined nearly 19 percent in 1997 and another 21 percent last year, will grow 19 percent this year, 22 percent next year and 27 percent in 2001, the SIA said. "The DRAM roller-coaster effect is occurring right now as the segment is expected to decline 24 percent this quarter. Nonetheless, the SIA is expecting the global DRAM market to increase 25 percent this year," said Wilfred Corrigan, LSI Logic chairman and chief executive officer, who presented the forecast. The global logic market, which includes standard cell, gate array and PLDs, is expected grow from $21.1 billion this year to $31.2 billion in 2002 with the standard cell market doubling from $6.7 billion this year to $12 billion in 2002. The global analog market will grow more than 50 percent during the next four years from a $20.7 billion market in 1999 to a projected $32 billion in 2002. The global microcontroller market will experience a comeback from the 4 percent decline of 1998 and is expected to reach a 16 percent gain this year and grow approximately 20 percent annually for the next three years. Discrete components, roughly 10 percent of the global market, were forecast to achieve a steady 7 to 8 percent compound annual growth rate CAGR during the next four years.