To: woody who wrote (50714 ) 6/11/1999 1:04:00 AM From: bobby is sleepless in seattle Respond to of 90042
AOL...Hi Woody...your strategy and the market in general... all depends on your strategy, time frame, risk tolerance...if you're into averaging down, or initiating a new position for the long run, I might suggest not taking a full position...instead, take 1/4, or perhaps less. If the nets get hammered tomorrow, maybe there will be trading opportunities...but the trend will contiue lower, at least to the end of the month...then earnings season kicks in and might provide salvation from the freefall... AOL's been bouncing off 105, and was recently saved from a further slide BELOW 100 when the Portland court rendered its decision concerning the cable access issue crippling ATHM while the isp's (and daytraders) benefited from the news... problem is the mighty forces of the market is waving its ugly wand upon us... We've got an impending interest rate hike which can be argued that's already built into the market, but perhaps FURTHER hikes have yet to be felt. A couple reports coming in tomorrow, retail and PPI, with CPI later next week(?), and then the climactic FOMC report at the end of the month...all leading to market jitters, and negative market psychology for the short run...let's face it, the market isn't exciting at this time, with focus geared toward the "half glass" syndrome...vacation time, thinly traded market, rising interest rates...you get the picture. maybe there will be a psychological bounce from 100 for AOL.. who knows where the bottom is, but the bigger picture is suggesting this correction isn't over yet...we're going to have plenty of opportunities coming up in the very near future, and i'd prefer to be on the side(lines) of caution with current market conditions... I shared with JeffA and others on another thread I jokingly suggested to a investor friend of mine that AOL will touch 80 several weeks ago...joking aside, I wouldn't be surprised to see AOL trend toward that figure... gosh, to think of AOL's price at 175 made 150 a compelling bargain, 125, 120, 115, then 105....be careful my friend, and keep those stops intact...